Galbraith is considered something of an iconoclast by many economists because he uses non-technical political economy instead of mathematical modeling. Additionally certain economists have alleged that he does not base his conclusions on solid research. In some of his books on economic topics he describes ways in which economic theory does not always mesh with real life.
In American Capitalism: The Concept of Countervailing Power published in 1952, Galbraith outlined how the American economy would be managed by a triumvirate of big business, big labor, and an activist government. He contrasted this with the previous pre-depression era where big business had relatively free rein over the economy.
In his most famous work, The Affluent Society (1958), Galbraith outlined his view that to be successful the United States would need to make large investments in items such as highways and education using funds from general taxation. He also criticized the assumption that continually increasing material production is a sign of economic and societal health. The Affluent Society contributed (given that Galbraith had the ear of President Kennedy) to the Β«war on povertyΒ», the government spending policy first brought on by the administrations of Kennedy and Johnson.
In The New Industrial State (1967), Galbraith argues that very few industries in the United States fit the model of perfect competition. A third related work was Economics and the Public Purpose (1973), in which he expanded on these themes by discussing, among other issues, the subservient role of women in the unrewarded management of ever-greater consumption, and the role of the technostructure in the large firm in influencing perceptions of sound economic policy aims.
In A Short History of Financial Euphoria (1990), he traces financial bubbles through several centuries, and cautions that what currently seems to be Β«the next great thingΒ» may not be that great and may have quite irrational factors promoting it.
Source: Wikipedia
Exercise 4*. Fill in the blanks using terms given below.
Milton Friedman
Milton Friedman (born July 31, 1912) is a US economist, known primarily for his work onβ¦β¦β¦β¦β¦β¦., economic history, statistics, and for his advocacy ofβ¦β¦.. capitalism. In 1976, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences awarded him theβ¦β¦. Prize inβ¦β¦. Β«for his achievements in the fields ofβ¦β¦. analysis, monetary history and theory and for his demonstration of the complexity ofβ¦β¦. policyΒ».
After working for theβ¦β¦.. government and for Columbia University, he received a Ph.D. from thatβ¦β¦.. in 1946. He then served as Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago from 1946 to 1976, where heβ¦β¦β¦ significantly to the intellectual tradition of the so-calledβ¦β¦. of economics. Since 1977, Friedman has beenβ¦β¦. with the Hoover Institution.
Friedman is widely regarded as the leading proponent of theβ¦β¦.. school of economic thought. He maintains that there is a close and stable link between inflation and theβ¦β¦β¦, mainly that theβ¦β¦β¦ of inflation is to be regulated by controlling the amount of money poured into the national economy by theβ¦β¦. He rejects the use ofβ¦β¦β¦ as a tool of demand management, and he holds that the governmentβs role in the guidance of the economy should be severelyβ¦β¦.. Friedman wrote extensively on theβ¦β¦β¦ arguing that it had been caused by an ordinaryβ¦β¦β¦ whose duration and seriousness were greatly increased by the subsequentβ¦β¦.. of the money supply caused by the misguided policies of the directors of the Federal Reserve. Friedman also argued for the cessation of governmentβ¦β¦β¦. in currency markets, as well as promoting the practice ofβ¦β¦β¦. exchange rates.
Friedman made headlines by proposing aβ¦β¦β¦ to replace the existingβ¦β¦.. system and then opposing theβ¦β¦ to implement it because it merely supplemented the existing system rather than replacing it.
Friedman visited Chile in 1975 during the military dictatorship of Augusto Pinochet. Invited by a privateβ¦β¦β¦, he gave a series of lectures on economics. Several professors from the University of Chicago becameβ¦β¦β¦ to the Chilean government. Friedman was accused of supporting a regime whose policies included torture and the killing of political opponents.
Critics have remarked that Chileβs dictatorship used its power to implementβ¦β¦., thus contradicting theβ¦β¦. that Friedman claims exists between free markets and political freedom. Friedman defends his role in Chile on the grounds that the move towards open market policies not only improved theβ¦β¦. in Chile but also contributed to the softening of Pinochetβs rule and to its eventual replacement by a democratic government in 1990.
Source: Wikepidia
Terms:
Great Depression, freely floating, advisors, phenomenon, Federal Reserve Bank, bill, stabilization, contraction, intervention, macroeconomics, Nobel, foundation, free market policies, institution, relationship, microeconomics, laissez-faire, Economics, consumption, federal, contributed, affiliated, monetarist, money supply, restricted, financial shock, negative income tax, welfare, economic situation, fiscal policy, Chicago School
Exercise 5. Translate into English.
Π£ΡΠΎΠΊΠΈ ΡΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠΈΠΊΠΈ: ΠΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»Π°ΡΡ ΡΡΡΠ°Π½Ρ
Π Π°Π·Π³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΡ ΠΎ ΡΠΎΠ»ΠΈ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠΎΠ² Π² ΡΡΠ½ΠΊΡΠΈΠΎΠ½ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠΈ ΡΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠΈΠΊΠΈ ΡΠ΅Π³ΠΎΠ΄Π½Ρ Π²Π΅ΡΡΠΌΠ° ΠΏΠΎΠΏΡΠ»ΡΡΠ½Ρ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ ΡΡΠ΅Π΄ΠΈ Π°ΠΊΠ°Π΄Π΅ΠΌΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΡ ΡΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠΈΡΡΠΎΠ², ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡΠΈΠΊΠΎΠ², ΡΠ΅ΡΠΎΡΠΌΠ°ΡΠΎΡΠΎΠ², ΡΠ°ΠΊ ΠΈ Π² ΡΠΈΡΠΎΠΊΠΎΠΌ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ²Π°ΡΠ΅Π»ΡΡΠΊΠΎΠΌ ΡΠΎΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π΅. ΠΡΠ»ΠΈ Π΄ΠΎ Π½Π΅Π΄Π°Π²Π½Π΅Π³ΠΎ Π²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈ ΠΏΠ°Π½Π°ΡΠ΅Π΅ΠΉ ΠΎΡ Π½Π΅ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΡ ΡΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΠΌΡ ΡΡΠΈΡΠ°Π»ΠΈΡΡ Β«ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΠ΅ ΡΠ΅Π½ΡΒ» (Β«Π£ΡΡΠ°Π½ΠΎΠ²ΠΈΡΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΠ΅ ΡΠ΅Π½Ρ, β Π³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΠΈΠ»ΠΈ Π½Π΅ΠΎΠΊΠ»Π°ΡΡΠΈΠΊΠΈ, β ΠΈ Π²ΡΠ΅ ΡΡΠ°Π·Ρ Π½Π°ΡΠ½Π΅Ρ ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΠ°ΡΡ ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΠΎΒ»), ΡΠΎ ΡΠ΅ΠΏΠ΅ΡΡ ΠΏΡΠ°ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠ²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅ΡΡΠ½ΠΎ Π·Π°Π³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΎ Β«ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΡ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠ°Ρ Β». ΠΠΎ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ ΠΎΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»ΠΈΡΡ, ΠΊΠ°ΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡ Β«ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΠΉΒ», ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ, ΠΈΠ½ΡΠΌΠΈ ΡΠ»ΠΎΠ²Π°ΠΌΠΈ, ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΡΠΉ? ΠΠΌΠ΅Π΅Ρ Π»ΠΈ Π²ΠΎΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ ΡΠΌΡΡΠ» ΡΠ°ΠΊΠΎΠ΅ ΠΏΠΎΠ½ΡΡΠΈΠ΅? ΠΠ΅ΠΉΡΡΠ²ΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎ Π»ΠΈ Π²ΡΠ΅ Π΄Π΅Π»ΠΎ Π² ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΡ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠ°Ρ ? Π‘ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊΠΈΠΌΠΈ ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΡΠΌΠΈ ΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΡΠ΅Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Ρ ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΡΡ ΠΊ ΠΈΡ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΊΠ΅?
ΠΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΠ΅ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΡ
ΠΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΡ ΡΡΡΡ ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»Π°, ΠΊΠΎΡΠΎΡΡΠ΅ Π΄ΠΎΠΏΠΎΠ»Π½Π΅Π½Ρ ΠΌΠ΅Ρ Π°Π½ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ°ΠΌΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΈΠ½ΡΠΆΠ΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΊ ΠΈΡ ΠΈΡΠΏΠΎΠ»Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ. ΠΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΌΠ°ΡΡΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ ΡΡΡΡΠΊΡΡΡΡ, ΠΌΠΈΠ½ΠΈΠΌΠΈΠ·ΠΈΡΡΡΡΡΡ ΡΡΠ°Π½Π·Π°ΠΊΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π½ΡΠ΅ ΠΈΠ·Π΄Π΅ΡΠΆΠΊΠΈ (transaction costs), ΠΈ ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡ Π΅Π³ΠΎ ΠΏΠΎ ΡΡΠΎΠΌΡ ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΡ. ΠΠ΄Π½Π°ΠΊΠΎ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡ ΡΠΏΠΎΡΠΎΠ±Π΅Π½ ΠΎΠ±Π΅ΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡ Π»ΠΎΠΊΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ ΠΌΠΈΠ½ΠΈΠΌΠΈΠ·Π°ΡΠΈΡ ΡΡΠ°Π½Π·Π°ΠΊΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π½ΡΡ ΠΈΠ·Π΄Π΅ΡΠΆΠ΅ΠΊ ΠΈ Π²ΠΌΠ΅ΡΡΠ΅ Ρ ΡΠ΅ΠΌ ΡΠΎΠ·Π΄Π°Π²Π°ΡΡ Π³Π»ΠΎΠ±Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ Π½Π΅ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΠΎΡΡΡ (ΠΏΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠ±Π½ΡΠΌ ΡΠ²ΠΎΠΉΡΡΠ²ΠΎΠΌ ΠΎΠ±Π»Π°Π΄Π°Π΅Ρ, Π½Π°ΠΏΡΠΈΠΌΠ΅Ρ, ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡ Π±Π°ΡΡΠ΅ΡΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΎΠ±ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π°). ΠΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ Π°Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΠ·ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΡ, ΡΠΊΠΎΠ»Ρ ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΠΎ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡ ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠΎΠ³Π°Π΅Ρ ΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΡΡ ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎ ΠΊΡΠ°ΠΉΠ½Π΅ΠΉ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ΅ ΡΠΌΡΠ³ΡΠΈΡΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ±Π»Π΅ΠΌΡ ΠΎΠ³ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ. Π’Π°ΠΊ, ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΠΏΡΠΈΡΡΠΈΡ Ρ ΡΠ°Π·Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΎΡΠΌΠΎΠΉ ΠΎΡΠ³Π°Π½ΠΈΠ·Π°ΡΠΈΠΈ Π±ΠΈΠ·Π½Π΅ΡΠ° ΠΏΠΎ-ΡΠ°Π·Π½ΠΎΠΌΡ ΡΠΏΡΠ°Π²Π»ΡΡΡΡΡ Ρ ΠΏΠΎΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΡΡΠ²ΠΈΡΠΌΠΈ ΠΎΠ³ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΡΠ²ΠΎΠΈΡ ΡΠ°Π±ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΈΠΊΠΎΠ². ΠΠ½Π°Π»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΠ½ΠΎ ΠΈ ΡΠ°Π·Π»ΠΈΡΠ½ΡΠ΅ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΡ Ρ ΡΠ°Π·Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΡΠ΅ΠΏΠ΅Π½ΡΡ ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΠΌΠΎΠ³ΡΡ Π΄ΠΎΠ±ΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡΡΡ ΡΠΌΡΠ³ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΏΠΎΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΡΡΠ²ΠΈΠΉ ΠΎΠ³ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ.
ΠΠ΄Π½Π°ΠΊΠΎ Π½Π΅ΠΎΠ΄Π½ΠΎΠ·Π½Π°ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΡ ΡΡΠ°ΠΊΡΠΎΠ²ΠΊΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΡΠ·Ρ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠ° ΠΈΠΌΠ΅Π΅Ρ ΠΌΠ΅ΡΡΠΎ ΠΏΡΠΈ Π»ΡΠ±ΡΡ ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΡΡ . Π‘ΠΊΠ°ΠΆΠ΅ΠΌ, Π€ΡΠ°Π½ΠΊΠ»ΠΈΠ½Π° Π ΡΠ·Π²Π΅Π»ΡΡΠ°, ΠΊΠΎΡΠΎΡΡΠΉ Π²Π²Π΅Π» Π² Π‘Π¨Π ΡΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΠΌΡ ΡΠΎΡΠΈΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΡΡΡΠ°Ρ ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ, ΠΎΠ΄Π½ΠΈ ΡΡΠΈΡΠ°ΡΡ Π³Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ, ΡΠΏΠ°ΡΡΠΈΠΌ ΡΡΡΠ°Π½Ρ, Π° Π΄ΡΡΠ³ΠΈΠ΅ β Π½Π΅Π΄Π°Π»Π΅ΠΊΠΈΠΌ Π·Π»ΠΎΠ΄Π΅Π΅ΠΌ, ΡΠΎΠ²Π΅ΡΡΠΈΠ²ΡΠΈΠΌ Π³ΠΈΠ±Π΅Π»ΡΠ½ΡΠΉ Π΄Π»Ρ Π½Π΅Π΅ ΡΠ°Π³. ΠΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡ Π³ΠΎΡΡΠ΄Π°ΡΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΎΠ±ΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΡΠΎΠΆΠ΅ Π²ΡΠ·ΡΠ²Π°Π» ΠΈ Π²ΡΠ·ΡΠ²Π°Π΅Ρ Π³ΠΎΡΡΡΠΈΠ΅ ΡΠΏΠΎΡΡ. ΠΠΎΠΆΠ΅Ρ Π»ΠΈ Π³ΠΎΡΡΠ΄Π°ΡΡΡΠ²ΠΎ Π±ΡΡΡ ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΡΠΌ ΡΠΎΠ±ΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΈΠΊΠΎΠΌ? ΠΡΠΆΠ½ΠΎ Π»ΠΈ Π΅ΠΌΡ ΠΎΡΡΠ°Π²Π°ΡΡΡΡ Π²Π»Π°Π΄Π΅Π»ΡΡΠ΅ΠΌ ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΎΡ Π²Π΅ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΈ Π΅ΡΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΡΡ ΠΌΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΠΉ? ΠΠ° ΡΡΠΈ ΠΈ ΠΌΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΠ΅ Π΄ΡΡΠ³ΠΈΠ΅ Π²ΠΎΠΏΡΠΎΡΡ Π΅ΡΡΡ ΡΠ°Π·Π½ΡΠ΅ ΠΎΡΠ²Π΅ΡΡ ΠΈ, ΠΊΠ°ΠΊ ΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΡΡΠ²ΠΈΠ΅, ΡΠ°Π·Π½Π°Ρ Π³ΠΎΡΡΠ΄Π°ΡΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½Π°Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡΠΈΠΊΠ°.
Π§Π΅ΠΌ ΡΠ»ΠΎΠΆΠ½Π΅Π΅ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡ, ΡΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π΅Π΅ ΠΎΠ΄Π½ΠΎΠ·Π½Π°ΡΠ΅Π½ Π²Π΅ΠΊΡΠΎΡ Π΅Π³ΠΎ Π²Π»ΠΈΡΠ½ΠΈΡ Π½Π° ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²ΠΎ. ΠΠΎΠΏΡΡΠΊΠΈ ΡΠΏΠΎΡΡΠ΄ΠΎΡΠΈΡΡ Π²ΡΡ ΡΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΠΌΡ Π²ΠΊΡΠΏΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠΈΠ²ΠΎΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΠ»ΠΈ Π±Ρ ΡΠ»Π΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΠ°ΡΠ½ΡΠΌ Π·Π°ΠΊΠΎΠ½Π°ΠΌ ΡΠΈΠ·ΠΈΠΊΠΈ. ΠΡΠ»ΠΈ Π²Π°ΠΌ ΠΊΠ°ΠΆΠ΅ΡΡΡ, ΡΡΠΎ Π²ΡΠ΅ Π΄ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠ»ΡΠ½Ρ Π½ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠ²Π²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ, Π²Ρ ΠΏΡΠΎΡΡΠΎ ΡΡΠΈΡΡΠ²Π°Π΅ΡΠ΅ Π½Π΅ Π²ΡΠ΅ ΡΠ°ΠΊΡΠΎΡΡ. Π‘ΠΎΠΎΡΠ²Π΅ΡΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎ, ΠΈ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΠ΅ΡΠ½ΡΠΌ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠΎΠΌ Π½Π΅ ΠΌΠΎΠ³ΡΡ Π±ΡΡΡ Π΄ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠ»ΡΠ½Ρ Π°Π±ΡΠΎΠ»ΡΡΠ½ΠΎ Π²ΡΠ΅. ΠΠ°ΠΊΠΎΠΉ Π±Ρ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡ ΠΌΡ Π½ΠΈ Π²Π·ΡΠ»ΠΈ β ΡΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΠΌΡ Π²ΡΡΡΠ΅Π³ΠΎ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ°Π·ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ, ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ·Π°ΡΠ΅Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ Π²Π°ΠΊΡΠΈΠ½Π°ΡΠΈΡ Π½ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΠΎΠΆΠ΄Π΅Π½Π½ΡΡ , Π£Π³ΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ²Π½ΠΎ-ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠ΅ΡΡΡΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΠΉ ΠΊΠΎΠ΄Π΅ΠΊΡ ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»Π° Π΄ΠΎΡΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ Π΄Π²ΠΈΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ, β Π²ΡΠ΅Π³Π΄Π° Π½Π°ΠΉΠ΄ΡΡΡΡ Π»ΡΠ΄ΠΈ, ΠΊΠΎΡΠΎΡΡΡ Π½Π΅ ΡΡΡΡΠ°ΠΈΠ²Π°Π΅Ρ Π΅Π³ΠΎ ΡΡΡΡΠΎΠΉΡΡΠ²ΠΎ.
ΠΡΠ°ΠΊ, ΠΎΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π΅Π»ΠΈΡΡ ΡΠ½ΠΈΠ²Π΅ΡΡΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΠ΅ ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΊΠ°ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π°, ΠΊΠΎΡΠΎΡΡΠ΅ Π±ΡΠ»ΠΈ Π±Ρ ΠΏΡΠΈΠΌΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΌΡ ΠΊ ΠΎΡΠ΄Π΅Π»ΡΠ½ΡΠΌ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠ°ΠΌ, ΠΏΡΠ°ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈ Π½Π΅Π²ΠΎΠ·ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ. ΠΠ΅ΠΎΠ±Ρ ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΠΌ Π°Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΠ· ΡΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΠΌΡ Π² ΡΠ΅Π»ΠΎΠΌ, ΠΈ ΠΎ ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΡΡ ΠΈΠ½ΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΠ°Ρ ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎ Π³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΠΈΡΡ ΡΠΎΠ»ΡΠΊΠΎ ΡΠΎΠ³Π΄Π°, ΠΊΠΎΠ³Π΄Π° ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΎ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²ΠΎ ΡΡΡΡΠΎΠ΅Π½ΠΎ ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΠ»ΡΠ½ΠΎ.
ΠΡΡΠΎΡΠ½ΠΈΠΊ: ΠΠ΅Π΄ΠΎΠΌΠΎΡΡΠΈ, 13.02.06. (ΠΎΡΡΡΠ²ΠΎΠΊ)
Lesson 23
Macroeconomic Landscape
Read and translate the texts and learn terms from the Essential Vocabulary.
U.S. Fiscal Imbalance Biggest Since 1959
Federal tax revenues relative to the overall economy have reached their lowest level since Dwight Eisenhower was president, while government spending has climbed to the highest point since Bill Clinton declared the era of big government over.
The Congressional Budget Office closed the books on the fiscal year that ended September 30, 2003, by issuing a report that portrayed the federal government as being badly off even as the nationβs economy shows increasing signs of recovery. Bush administration claims that mounting deficits are the result of the economic downturn, and that a recovery would begin to remedy the governmentβs fiscal imbalance.
The federal budget deficit for fiscal 2003 soared to $374 billion, easily surpassing the previous record of $290 billion in 1992.
The actual 2003 deficit was, however, lower than the $401 billion forecast by CBO in August, and Bolten pointed to other factors that he called Β«modest good newsΒ». Tax receipts, especially corporate taxes, came in stronger than expected this fall, while spending on welfare payments and unemployment benefits were lower than forecast β all signs that the economic recovery is helping the governmentβs bottom line.
But CBO director Douglas Holtz-Eakin warned there are still far too many questions about the recent jump in tax receipts to conclude the governmentβs fiscal fortunes have turned.
Β«We still have the same outlook for the future,Β» he said, pointing to CBOβs August projections of deficits totaling $1.4 trillion from 2004 to 2013.
As a snapshot of governmentβs fiscal health, 2003 prompted historic comparisons. A sluggish economy and three successive tax cuts pushed budget receipts to $1.78 trillion, $70 billion below 2002 levels. Expressed as percentage of the economy, the federal tax take contracted to 16.6%, the lowest level since 1959.
Just last year, corporate tax receipts declined by 11.1%, to 1.2% of the nationβs GDP. That is the lowest level since 1983. Since they peaked in 2000, corporate tax payments have plunged nearly 29%.
Individual income taxes fell by 7.5% last year and are off 21% from their 2000 peak. Only Medicare and Social Security taxes have continued to climb since the boom years of the 1990s, and that money is now financing other parts of the government.
Β«It is revenue collection which dropped off a cliff,Β» Bolten said.
But federal spending β pumped up by war and rising health care costs β has been on the opposite trajectory. Spending rose by $146 billion over 2002, or 7.3%, to $2.16 trillion. In 2003, spending equaled 20.3% of the economy, the highest level since 1996, when Clinton hailed the end of big government.
And those numbers may actually understate the surge in spending since historically low interest rates have lowered the cost of interest payments on the $3.9 trillion federal debt held by the public, the CBO said. Excluding the fall in interest payments, federal spending rose 8.9% last year.
But the real driver on the spending side was the military, which consumed $389 billion in 2003, a 17.2% increase in a year. That was the fastest growth rate in 20 years, and more than double the average 7% growth in non-defense programs.
With Congress considering an $87 billion spending package for Iraq and Afghanistan, the spending figures are sure to rise. Bolten said he is still expecting the deficit to top $500 billion in 2003, even with a brightening economic picture. Strong economic growth anticipated by 2004 will not produce a surge in tax receipts until the following year, he said.
Critics of the presidentβs fiscal stewardship are not backing off. Bushβs $1.7 trillion in tax cuts will really begin taking a toll on government finances toward the end of the decade, when forecasters expect the economy to be rolling. By 2010, the vanguard of Baby Boom retirees will have begun driving up Social Security and Medicare expenses by nearly 7% a year.
The 2003 numbers are a Β«distraction compared to the big story of where this is all heading,Β» said Kent Conrad, the senior Democrat on the Senate Budget Committee, Β«a fiscal crisis unlike any weβve ever seen.Β»