Π§ΠΈΡΠ°ΡΡ ΠΎΠ½Π»Π°ΠΉΠ½ Β«ΠΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΈΠΊΠ°Π½ΡΠΊΠ°Ρ ΡΠ°Π·Π²Π΅Π΄ΠΊΠ° ΠΎ ΡΠΎΠ²Π΅ΡΡΠΊΠΈΡ Π²ΠΎΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΡ ΡΠ°ΡΡ ΠΎΠ΄Π°Ρ Β». Π‘ΡΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΠ° 10
ΠΠ²ΡΠΎΡ ΠΠΈΡΠ°Π»ΠΈΠΉ Π¨Π»ΡΠΊΠΎΠ²
1
ΠΡΠ°Π²Π΄Π°, Π² 2001 Π³ΠΎΠ΄Ρ Π²ΠΎΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΠΉ Π±ΡΠ΄ΠΆΠ΅Ρ ΡΡΠ°Π» Π½Π΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠ»ΡΠΊΠΎ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄ΡΠΎΠ±Π½Π΅Π΅, Π² ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΎΠ²Π½ΠΎΠΌ Π·Π° ΡΡΠ΅Ρ Π²ΡΠΎΡΠΎΡΡΠ΅ΠΏΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΡ ΡΡΠ°ΡΠ΅ΠΉ.
2
ΠΠ°Π²ΡΡΠ°, β 31, Π°Π²Π³ΡΡΡ 1996.
3
William T. Lee, Β«CIA Estimates of Soviet Military Expenditures. Errors and WasteΒ», The American Enterprise Institute, Washington, D.C., 1995. P. 213.
4
Washington Post, 10 August 1994.
5
Β«Estimating the Size and Growth of the Soviet EconomyΒ», Hearing before the Committee on Foreign Relations of the U.S. Senate, 16 July 1990, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1991. P. 49.
6
Remarks of the Deputy Director of Central Intelligence John E. McLaughlin at the Conference on CIA's Analysis of the Soviet Union, 1947-1991, Princeton University Β«The Changing Nature of CIA Analysis in the Post-Soviet World,Β» 9 March 2001. The Washington File. Office of International Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. // Johnson's Russia List, #5149, 14 March 2001.
7
William T. Lee, Op. cit. P. VIII.
8
Ibid. Π . VIII.
9
Β«Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and ChinaΒ», 1990, part 15, Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1991. P. 169.
10
William T. Lee, Op. cit. P. IX.
11
Β«Soviet Military PowerΒ», U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. Pp. 107-108.
12
Intelligence Community Experiment in Competitive Analysis. Soviet Strategic Objectives. An Alternative View. Report of Team Β«BΒ». December 1976.
13
Ibid. P. 20.
14
Ibid. P. 21.
15
William T. Lee, Op. cit. Pp. 48, 69, 70.
16
Intelligence Community Experiment... P. 6.
17
Ibid. P. 46.
18
Ibid. P. 23.
19
Π‘ΠΌ.: Washington Star, 15 February, 1976; Joseph Alsop, Β«A Cautionary TaleΒ», Washington Post, 7 March, 1977.
20
William T. Lee, Op. cit. P. 65.
21
Ibid. P. 8.
22
Annual Report to the Congress. Caspar W. Weinberger, Secretary of Defense. Fiscal Year 1987. P. 14.
23
Ibid. P. 16.
24
Ibid. P. 24.
25
The New York Times, 26 September, 1993.
26
Annual Report to the Congress. Caspar W. Weinberger, Secretary of Defense. Fiscal Year 1983. Pp. I-16,17.
27
Ibid. P. I-30.
28
Intelligence Community Experiment... P. 42.
29
ΠΡΠΎΠ±Π»Π΅ΠΌΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³Π½ΠΎΠ·ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ, β 2, 1996 Π³. Π‘. 140.
30
Π’Π°ΠΌ ΠΆΠ΅. Π‘. 149.
31
Π’Π°ΠΌ ΠΆΠ΅. Π‘. 138.
32
Π’Π°ΠΌ ΠΆΠ΅. Π‘. 144, 145.
33
Remarks of the Director of Central Intelligence George J. Tenet Opening the Conference on CIA's Analysis of the Soviet Union, 1947-1991. Princeton University "The Changing Nature of CIA Analysis in the Post-Soviet World," 9 March 2001. The Washington File. Office of International Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. // Johnson's Rus-sia List, #5149, 14 March 2001.
34
Ibid.
35
William T. Lee, Op. cit. P. IX.
36
Remarks of the Deputy Director of Central Intelligence John E. McLaughlin at the Con-ference on CIA's Analysis of the Soviet Union, 1947-1991, Princeton University "The Changing Nature of CIA Analysis in the Post-Soviet World," 9 March 2001. The Washington File. Office of International Information Programs, U.S. Department of State. // Johnson's Russia List, #5149, 14 March 2001.