β ΡΠΎΠ·Π΄Π°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ Π² ΠΠΠ Β«ΠΡΠΊΠΎΠΉΠ»Β» ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΡΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠ΅Π΄ΡΡ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΡΠΎΠ²ΠΊΠΈ ΠΈ ΡΠ΅Π°Π»ΠΈΠ·Π°ΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³ΡΠ°ΠΌΠΌ Π² ΠΎΠ±Π»Π°ΡΡΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΌΡΡΠ»Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ Π±Π΅Π·ΠΎΠΏΠ°ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ, ΠΎΡ ΡΠ°Π½Ρ ΡΡΡΠ΄Π° ΠΈ ΠΎΡ ΡΠ°Π½Ρ ΠΎΠΊΡΡΠΆΠ°ΡΡΠ΅ΠΉ ΡΡΠ΅Π΄Ρ, ΠΎΠ±Π΅ΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡΠΈΡ ΠΏΠΎΡΡΠΎΡΠ½Π½ΠΎΠ΅ Π²ΡΡΠ²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΈ ΡΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ Π½Π°ΠΈΠ±ΠΎΠ»Π΅Π΅ Π²Π°ΠΆΠ½ΡΡ Π·Π°Π΄Π°Ρ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΌΡΡΠ»Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΈ ΡΠΊΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ Π±Π΅Π·ΠΎΠΏΠ°ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ, Π²ΠΎΠ·Π½ΠΈΠΊΠ°ΡΡΠΈΡ ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π΄ ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΉ;
β ΡΡΠ°Π±ΠΈΠ»ΠΈΠ·Π°ΡΠΈΡ ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΡΡΡΠ΅Π΅ ΡΠΎΠΊΡΠ°ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΊΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π°, Π° ΡΠ°ΠΊΠΆΠ΅ ΡΠ½ΠΈΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΠΎΠΊΡΠΈΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ Π²ΡΠ±ΡΠΎΡΠΎΠ², ΡΠ±ΡΠΎΡΠΎΠ² Π·Π°Π³ΡΡΠ·Π½ΡΡΡΠΈΡ Π²Π΅ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ² ΠΈ ΠΎΡΡ ΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠ² ΠΏΡΠΈ ΡΠ²Π΅Π»ΠΈΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠΈ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠΎΠ² ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΡΡΠ²Π° Π·Π° ΡΡΠ΅Ρ Π²Π½Π΅Π΄ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ Π½ΠΎΠ²ΡΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΡΡ ΡΠ΅Ρ Π½ΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΠΉ, ΠΎΠ±ΠΎΡΡΠ΄ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ, ΠΌΠ°ΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΠ°Π»ΠΎΠ² ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠ²ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΡΠΎΠ²Π½Ρ Π°Π²ΡΠΎΠΌΠ°ΡΠΈΠ·Π°ΡΠΈΠΈ ΡΠΏΡΠ°Π²Π»Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΠ΅Ρ Π½ΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΠΌΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ°ΠΌΠΈ;
β ΡΠ½ΠΈΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΠ΅Ρ Π½ΠΎΠ³Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ Π½Π°Π³ΡΡΠ·ΠΊΠΈ Π½Π° ΠΎΠΊΡΡΠΆΠ°ΡΡΡΡ ΡΡΠ΅Π΄Ρ ΠΎΡ Π²Π½ΠΎΠ²Ρ Π²Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΠΈΠΌΡΡ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΎΠ² ΠΏΠΎΡΡΠ΅Π΄ΡΡΠ²ΠΎΠΌ ΡΠ»ΡΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΊΠ°ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π° ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΡΠΎΠ²ΠΊΠΈ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΠΏΡΠΎΠ΅ΠΊΡΠ½ΠΎΠΉ ΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ΅ΠΊΡΠ½ΠΎΠΉ Π΄ΠΎΠΊΡΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ Π΅Π΅ ΡΠΊΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΡΠΊΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠ·Ρ ΠΈ ΡΠΊΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠΈΠ·Ρ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΌΡΡΠ»Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ Π±Π΅Π·ΠΎΠΏΠ°ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ Π² ΠΠΠ Β«ΠΡΠΊΠΎΠΉΠ»Β»;
β ΠΏΠΎΠ²ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡΠΎΠ»Ρ Π·Π° ΡΠΎΠ±Π»ΡΠ΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ ΡΡΠ΅Π±ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠΉ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΌΡΡΠ»Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠΉ Π±Π΅Π·ΠΎΠΏΠ°ΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ ΠΈ ΡΠΊΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΌΠΎΠ½ΠΈΡΠΎΡΠΈΠ½Π³Π° Π½Π° ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠ°Ρ ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΠΈ Π½Π° ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΎΠ²Π΅ Π²Π½Π΅Π΄ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ ΡΠΎΠ²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π½ΡΡ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠΎΡΠΌΠ°ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π½ΡΡ ΡΠ΅Ρ Π½ΠΎΠ»ΠΎΠ³ΠΈΠΉ, ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠΎΠ΄ΠΎΠ² ΡΠ΅Ρ Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ Π΄ΠΈΠ°Π³Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈΠΊΠΈ ΠΈ Π΄ΠΈΡΡΠ°Π½ΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ Π·ΠΎΠ½Π΄ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ (remote sensing).
ΠΡΡΠΎΡΠ½ΠΈΠΊ: www.lukoil.ru
Lesson 17
Industry Analysis
Read and translate the text and learn terms from the Essential Vocabulary
Porterβs Five Forces
The model of pure competition implies that risk-adjusted rates of return should be constant across firms and industries. However, different industries can sustain different levels of profitability, partly because of industry structure. Michael Porter provided a framework that models an industry as being influenced by five forces. The strategic business manager seeking to develop an edge over rival firms can use this model to better understand the industry context in which the firm operates.
Porterβs 5 Forces
I. Rivalry
In the traditional economic model, competition among rival firms drives profits to zero. But competition is not perfect and firms are not unsophisticated passive price takers. They strive for a competitive advantage over their rivals.
Economists measure rivalry by indicators of industry concentration. The Concentration Ratio (CR) is one such measure. The Bureau of Census periodically reports the CR for major Standard Industrial Classifications (SIC). The CR indicates the percent of market share held by the four largest firms. A high concentration ratio indicates that the industry is concentrated. With only a few firms holding a large market share, the competitive landscape is closer to a monopoly. A low concentration ratio indicates that the industry is characterized by many rivals, none of which has a significant market share. These fragmented markets are competitive.
If rivalry among firms in an industry is low, the industry is considered to be disciplined. This discipline may result from the industryβs history of competition, the role of a leading firm, or informal compliance with a generally understood code of conduct. Explicit collusion generally is illegal; in low-rivalry industries competitive moves must be constrained informally. However, a maverick firm seeking a competitive advantage can displace the otherwise disciplined market.
When a rival acts in a way that elicits a counter-response by other firms, rivalry intensifies. The intensity of competition is referred to as being cutthroat, intense, moderate, or weak, based on the firmsβ aggressiveness in gaining an advantage.
A firm can choose from several competitive moves:
β Price competition.
β Improving product differentiation.
β Creatively using channels of distribution, such as vertical integration.
β Exploiting relationships with suppliers.
The intensity of rivalry is influenced by the following industry characteristics:
β A larger number of firms increases rivalry because more firms must compete for the same customers and resources. The rivalry intensifies if the firms have similar market share, leading to a struggle for market leadership.
β Slow market growth causes firms to fight for market share. In a growing market, firms are able to improve revenues simply because of the expanding market.
β High fixed costs result in an economy of scale that increases rivalry. When total costs are mostly fixed costs, the firm must produce near capacity to attain the lowest unit costs. Since the firm must sell this large quantity of product, high levels of production lead to a fight for market share and result in increased rivalry. High storage costs cause a producer to sell goods as soon as possible. If other producers are attempting to unload at the same time, competition for customers intensifies.
β Low switching costs increase rivalry. When a customer can freely switch from one product to another there is a greater struggle to capture customers.
β Low levels of product differentiation are associated with higher levels of rivalry. Brand identification, on the other hand, tends to constrain rivalry.
β Strategic stakes are high when a firm is losing market position or has potential for great gains. This intensifies rivalry.
β High exit barriers place a high cost on abandoning the product. High exit barriers cause a firm to remain in an industry, even when the venture is not profitable.
β When the plant and equipment required for manufacturing a product are highly specialized, these assets cannot easily be sold to other buyers in another industry.
β A diversity of rivals with different cultures, and philosophies makes an industry unstable. There is greater possibility for mavericks and for misjudging rivalβs moves.
β A growing market and the potential for high profits induce new firms to enter a market and incumbent firms to increase production. A point is reached where the industry becomes crowded with competitors, and demand cannot support the new entrants and the resulting increased supply. A shakeout ensues, with intense competition, price wars, and company failures.
β BCG founder Bruce Henderson generalized this observation as the Rule of Three and Four: a stable market will not have more than three significant competitors, and the largest competitor will have no more than four times the market share of the smallest. It implies that:
β If there is a larger number of competitors, a shakeout is inevitable.
β Surviving rivals will have to grow faster than the market.
β Eventual losers will have a negative cash flow if they attempt to grow.
β All except the two largest rivals will be losers.
II. Threat of Substitutes
In Porterβs model, substitute products refer to products in other industries. A threat of substitutes exists when a productβs demand is affected by the price change of a substitute product. A productβs price elasticity is affected by substitute products β as more substitutes become available, the demand becomes more elastic since customers have more alternatives. A close substitute product constrains the ability of firms in an industry to raise prices. The competition engendered by a Threat of Substitutes comes from products outside the industry.
III. Buyer Power
The power of buyers is the impact that customers have on a producing industry.
When buyer power is strong, the relationship to the producing industry is near to a monopsony β a market in which there are many suppliers and one buyer. Under such market conditions, the buyer sets the price. In reality few pure monopsonies exist, but frequently there is some asymmetry between a producing industry and buyers.
IV. Supplier Power
A producing industry requires raw materials β labor, components, and other supplies. This requirement leads to buyer-supplier relationships between the industry and the firms that provide it the raw materials used to create products. Suppliers, if powerful, can exert an influence on the producing industry, such as selling raw materials at a high price to capture some of the industryβs profits.
V. Barriers to Entry / Threat of Entry
It is not only incumbent rivals that pose a threat to firms in an industry; the possibility that new firms may enter the industry also affects competition. In theory, any firm should be able to enter and exit a market, and if free entry and exit exists, then profits always should be nominal. In reality, however, industries possess characteristics that protect the high profit levels of firms in the market and inhibit additional rivals from entering the market. These are barriers to entry.
Barriers to entry are more than the normal equilibrium adjustments that markets typically make. When industry profits increase, we would expect additional firms to enter the market to take advantage of the high profit levels, over time driving down profits for all firms in the industry. When profits decrease, we would expect some firms to exit the market thus restoring a market equilibrium. Falling prices deter rivals from entering a market. Firms also may be reluctant to enter highly uncertain markets, especially if entering involves expensive start-up costs. If firms individually keep prices artificially low as a strategy to prevent potential entrants from entering the market, such entry-deterring pricing establishes a barrier.
Barriers to entry reduce the rate of entry of new firms, thus maintaining a level of profits for those already in the industry. Barriers to entry arise from several sources:
β Government creates barriers.
β Patents and proprietary knowledge serve to restrict entry into an industry.
β Asset specificity inhibits entry into an industry.
β Organizational (Internal) Economies of Scale. The most cost efficient level of production is termed Minimum Efficient Scale (MES). This is the point at which unit costs for production are at minimum.
Barriers to exit work similarly to barriers to entry. Exit barriers limit the ability of a firm to leave the market and can exacerbate rivalry β unable to leave the industry, a firm must compete.
Source: www.quickmba.com
Essential Vocabulary
1. pure competition β ΡΠΎΠ²Π΅ΡΡΠ΅Π½Π½Π°Ρ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΡΠ΅Π½ΡΠΈΡ
2. risk-adjusted β ΡΠΊΠΎΡΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½Π½ΡΠΉ Π½Π° ΡΠΈΡΠΊ
3. rate of return β ΡΡΠ°Π²ΠΊΠ° Π΄ΠΎΡ ΠΎΠ΄Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ
4. learning curve β ΠΊΡΠΈΠ²Π°Ρ ΠΎΡΠ²ΠΎΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ
5. switching costs β ΠΈΠ·Π΄Π΅ΡΠΆΠΊΠΈ ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅ΠΊΠ»ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ
6.forward integration β ΠΏΡΡΠΌΠ°Ρ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ΅Π³ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡ
7. backward integration β ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ°ΡΠ½Π°Ρ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ΅Π³ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡ
8. bargain n β ΡΠ΄Π΅Π»ΠΊΠ° ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΎΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡ; Π΄ΠΎΠ³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΡΡΡ; Π²ΡΠ³ΠΎΠ΄Π½Π°Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠΊΡΠΏΠΊΠ°
bargaining n β Π²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΠΎΠ²
bargain v β ΡΠΎΡΠ³ΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΡΡΡ, Π²Π΅ΡΡΠΈ ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅Π³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΡ, Π΄ΠΎΠ³ΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡΡΡ, ΡΡΠ»Π°Π²Π»ΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡΡΡ
9. rival n β ΡΠΎΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ½ΠΈΠΊ, ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΡΠ΅Π½Ρ
rivalry n β ΡΠΎΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ½ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²ΠΎ, ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΡΠ΅Π½ΡΠΈΡ
rival a β ΡΠΎΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ½ΠΈΡΠ°ΡΡΠΈΠΉ, ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΡΠΈΡΡΡΡΠΈΠΉ
rival v β ΡΠΎΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ½ΠΈΡΠ°ΡΡ, ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΡΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΡ
10.perfect competition β ΡΠΎΠ²Π΅ΡΡΠ΅Π½Π½Π°Ρ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΡΠ΅Π½ΡΠΈΡ
11. Concentration Ratio (CR) β ΠΏΠΎΠΊΠ°Π·Π°ΡΠ΅Π»Ρ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΠ΅Π½ΡΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΈ
12. Bureau of Census β ΠΡΡΠΎ ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠ΅ΠΏΠΈΡΠ΅ΠΉ (ΠΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΡΡΡΠ²Π° ΡΠΎΡΠ³ΠΎΠ²Π»ΠΈ Π‘Π¨Π)
13. Standard Industry Classification (SIC) β ΡΡΠ°Π½Π΄Π°ΡΡΠ½Π°Ρ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΌΡΡΠ»Π΅Π½Π½Π°Ρ ΠΊΠ»Π°ΡΡΠΈΡΠΈΠΊΠ°ΡΠΈΡ
14. code of conduct β ΠΊΠΎΠ΄Π΅ΠΊΡ ΠΏΠΎΠ²Π΅Π΄Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ
15. maverick n β Π΄ΠΈΡΡΠΈΠ΄Π΅Π½Ρ, ΠΎΡΡΡΡΠΏΠ½ΠΈΠΊ; ΡΠ΅Π·ΠΊΠΎ ΠΎΡΠΊΠ»ΠΎΠ½ΡΡΡΠ΅Π΅ΡΡ Π·Π½Π°ΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ (Π½Π° Π³ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΊΠ΅)
16. cutthroat competition β ΠΎΠΆΠ΅ΡΡΠΎΡΠ΅Π½Π½Π°Ρ ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΡΠ΅Π½ΡΠΈΡ, ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΊΡΡΠ΅Π½ΡΠΈΡ Π½Π° ΡΠ΄ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅
17. vertical integration β Π²Π΅ΡΡΠΈΠΊΠ°Π»ΡΠ½Π°Ρ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ΅Π³ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡ
18. unit cost β ΡΠ΅Π±Π΅ΡΡΠΎΠΈΠΌΠΎΡΡΡ Π΅Π΄ΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ΄ΡΠΊΡΠΈΠΈ
19. storage n β Ρ ΡΠ°Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅, ΡΠΊΠ»Π°Π΄ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠ΅; Ρ ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΠ»ΠΈΡΠ΅, ΠΏΠ»ΠΎΡΠ°Π΄Ρ ΡΠΊΠ»Π°Π΄Π°
store n β ΠΌΠ°Π³Π°Π·ΠΈΠ½, Ρ ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΠ»ΠΈΡΠ΅, ΡΠΊΠ»Π°Π΄, Π·Π°ΠΏΠ°Ρ
store v β Ρ ΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΡ, ΡΠΊΠ»Π°Π΄ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΡ
20. shakeout n β Π²ΡΡΡΡΡΠΊΠ° (ΡΡΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠ΅ ΠΈΠ·ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ Π² ΡΡΠ½ΠΎΡΠ½ΡΡ ΡΡΠ»ΠΎΠ²ΠΈΡΡ )
21. entrant n β ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΡ, Π²ΡΡ ΠΎΠ΄ΡΡΠ°Ρ Π½Π° ΡΡΠ½ΠΎΠΊ ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ½ΠΈΠΊΠ°ΡΡΠ°Ρ Π² ΠΎΡΡΠ°ΡΠ»Ρ
22. price elasticity β ΡΠ»Π°ΡΡΠΈΡΠ½ΠΎΡΡΡ ΠΏΠΎ ΡΠ΅Π½Π°ΠΌ
23. monopsony n β ΠΌΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΏΡΠΎΠ½ΠΈΡ (ΠΌΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡ ΠΏΠΎΠΊΡΠΏΠ°ΡΠ΅Π»Π΅ΠΉ)
monopsonic a β ΠΌΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΏΡΠΎΠ½ΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΠΉ